Although there is a case to be made that the true answer to this question is Rock Your World (#15, 5/1 morning line odds), the most likely winner of Derby 147 is Essential Quality (#14, 2/1 morning line odds). Demling has projected exactly where Essential Quality and Rock Your World will finish in his 2021 Kentucky Derby leaderboard. “With the new gate, we’re hopeful that things will be better than they were in the past and the post won’t be that bad,” Pletcher said. “He ran super, and I have a lot of respect for Essential Quality,” Brown said. The potentially aptly named Rock Your World is starting in the gate to the right of Essential Quality. Kentucky Derby: Michael Talla hopes good fortune continues with Rock Your World Born into poverty, the co-owner of the son of Candy Ride knows firsthand hard work and … Rock Your World shined in his move from turf to dirt, winning the Grade 1 Santa Anita Derby by 4 ¼ lengths over the Bob Baffert-trained Medina Spirit. This colt was beaten just three-quarters of a length in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile (G1) last fall at Keeneland at whopping odds of 94-1. This Doug O’Neill trainee won the Louisiana Derby (G2) in his last start and his 99 Beyer Speed Figure is topped only by Rock Your World’s 100. “I think he got that with a good, hard race into him. Keeneland. He made his 3-year-old debut with a third-place finish in the Grade 3 Robert B. Lewis at Santa Anita before shipping to Fair Grounds for the Louisiana Derby score. Cox says Essential Quality was best in Derby; Preakness next? RELATED COVERAGE | Why your horse can, can't win the Kentucky Derby. “It just happened to work.”. - The 100 Beyer Speed Figure earned by Rock Your World makes him one of the fastest horses headed into this year’s Kentucky Derby. The morning line has Santa Anita Derby winner Rock Your World as the No. - The 100 Beyer Speed Figure earned by Rock Your World makes him one of the fastest horses headed into this year’s Kentucky Derby. Known Agenda's 101 Brisnet Rating is only one point behind the top figure, while Medina Spirit's 120 career high TimeformUS is the second best in this group. Florida Derby (G1) winner Known Agenda and Robert B. Lewis (G3) winner Medina Spirit each lie outside the top eight on the Beyer scale but are being undervalued according to Brisnet and TimeformUS. Hot Rod Charlie earned a 99 figure while dusting Mandaloun in the Louisiana Derby, but he was defeated by Essential Quality and Medina Spirit in his prior two races. Rock Your World is the only Kentucky Derby contender with a triple-digit Beyer | Benoit photo Spendthrift Farm has secured the breeding rights to undefeated Santa Anita Derby (G1) winner and Kentucky Derby (G1) contender Rock Your World, it was announced Thursday. … I think this horse is really going to move forward off that race.”. “Seeing how well Charlie has traveled, it made us so comfortable to bring him back to California, train there where we’re comfortable the weather would be pretty nice on a daily basis and then ship (to Louisville) after his last work,” O’Neill said. I'm skeptical about the Aqueduct road but a 95 Beyer in winning the Gotham as a 45/1 shot means he deserves to get some kudos. Based in Saratoga Springs, N.Y., Weir has been handicapping and following horse racing since reading Andy Beyer's landmark handicapping book "Picking Winners" in the late 1980s. He’s really improved since we put blinkers on. Rock Your World is undefeated in three starts, though the first two were on turf. O Besos could easily be 10 times the odds of Essential Quality despite having a career-best Beyer only one point lower. A mile and a quarter is not going to be a problem for him.”. Rock Your World … Beyer speed figures and TimeformUS figures are courtesy of. Rock Your World earned a 100 Beyer in his 4 1/4-length victory over Medina Spirit on April 3rd. His trainer, Doug O’Neill, has won the Derby twice in the past decade. A son of Oxbow, Hot Rod Charlie needed four races to break his maiden and then entered the Triple Crown scene by finishing second – at 94-1 odds – behind Essential Quality in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile last November at Keeneland. Bourbonic 100 Calumet Farm (Brad Kelley) Todd Pletcher $400,000 8. “We decided the time to try the big race was the Santa Anita Derby because if you’re good enough in the Santa Anita Derby you can go on,” Sadler said. “It seemed like he just kind of lowered down and took off the last sixteenth of a mile. Rock Your World earned a new career-top Equibase Speed Figure (103), BrisNet speed rating (102), and Beyer Speed Figure (100), with the Beyer number improving 18 points from an 82 in the Pasadena. However, he has yet to post a Beyer rating higher than 100 in any of his seven races. Rock Your World 100 Hronis Racing LLC (Kosta & Pete Hronis) & David Michael Talla John Sadler $510,000 Career: $546,600 7. “You look back 20 years ago, and those horses ran 10 times as 2-year-olds and multiple times before this race, but I just think the environment we’re in that it’s best to lean on, ‘Less is more.’ We’re seeing good results that way, too.”. “He took that step very nicely and ran very well, so here we are.”. Based on numbers, he is the horse to beat and he will certainly be on my tickets. Kentucky Derby 2021: How do the speed figures stack up. Rock Your World’s 100 Beyer also merits play. The No. Rock Your World horse rating and status. “It was only his second start of the year, so I was looking for a little more fitness,” Brown said. He also will be well-rested, coming off a 42-day break. He won by a large margin and did so despite setting fast early fractions. Rock Your World shined in his move from turf to dirt, winning the Grade 1 Santa Anita Derby by 4 ¼ lengths over the Bob Baffert-trained Medina Spirit. Kentucky Derby 2021. Why your horse can, can't win the Kentucky Derby, Your California Privacy Rights/Privacy Policy. Rock Your World was unveiled on Jan. 1 in a six-furlong turf dash at Santa Anita and drove home an impressive 1 3/4-length winner as the post-time favorite in a 12-horse field. Rock Your World. It’s been six weeks since Hot Rod Charlie won the Louisiana Derby, but trainer Doug O’Neill isn’t concerned about rust. No one likes picking the favorite to win the Kentucky Derby, though it has proven to be a profitable wager over the past few years. Here’s what to know about those four contenders: Trainer John Sadler took an unconventional path to the Derby, as the undefeated Rock Your World didn’t race as a 2-year-old and started his career with two races on the turf. Rock Your World is the only Derby contender to post a triple-digit Beyer. The son of Into Mischief battled Essential Quality in a classic stretch duel in the Blue Grass before ultimately losing by a neck. If you wondered why Tyler Gaffalione eased Soup an... Tools & Tips to Win Big on Kentucky Derby 2021! “We took a little different road than everybody else, but it was actually by design,” Sadler said. “Sometimes less is more, right?” O’Neill said. Rock Your World earned a 100 Beyer Speed Figure in the victory, the only horse in the Kentucky Derby field to reach a triple-digit figure in his career. In a case that's flipping what-have-you-done-for-me-lately on its ear, jockey Joel Rosario will replace Umberto Rispoli aboard Rock Your World for next At this point, you cannot look at Rock Your World as anything close to a finished product. Trainer Todd Pletcher decided to add blinkers after that race, and the colt has prospered with a pair of victories, including a 2 ¾-length triumph over Soup and Sandwich in the Florida Derby. In many recent editions of the Kentucky Derby, speed figures have helped signify a standout. The son of Curlin disappointed with a fifth-place finish in the Grade 3 Sam F. Davis in his 3-year-old debut. It costs $6. His top Beyer figure of 99 puts him right behind Rock Your World. A $1 trifecta key means putting one horse in the first position over the other three, who can produce any combination of second and third. See who is a fan of Rock Your World. Improbable was the favorite in 2019 and finished fifth, and 2020 top choice Tiz the Law came in second. Rock Your World. Mandaloun earned a 98 Beyer Speed Figure for his win in the Risen Star (G2), but his lackluster sixth-place finish in the Louisiana Derby (G2) is tough to stomach as a handicapper. Rock Your World is the only Derby contender to post a triple-digit Beyer. 15. Trainer Chad Brown said Highly Motivated gained valuable experience in his first two-turn race. University of Louisville Equine Industry Program - Get a Career in Horse Racing! I profiled the Candy Ride colt in depth in this week’s Making the Grade blog, so I’ll keep this capsule relatively short. 6. But what happens if he is not able to make the lead and is forced to take kickback for the first time in his career? Kentucky Derby 2021 Contenders - Derby 2021 - Road to the Derby - Derby 2021 - Derby Prep Replays He’s gotten a little more focused, and he’s maturing and getting a little more professional with each start.”. Rock Your World didn’t run his maiden until New Year’s Day, but he upset Medina Spirit to win the Santa Anita Derby by 4 ¼ lengths. But who are the top contenders beyond Blue Grass winner Essential Quality? Baffert said he was impressed with Rock Your World at Santa Anita. Greatest Honour 80 Courtlandt Farms (Donald & Donna Adam) Shug McGaughey III $366,240 9. “You learn along the way.”. Might just wire the Derby. ... Trainer: John Sadler Owner: Hronis Racing LLC and Talla Racing LLC Record: 3-3-0-0 Best Beyer: 100 . Based on numbers, he is the horse to beat and he will certainly be on my tickets. Rock Your World got out in 22.42 in the first quarter mile, 46.11 at the half mile pole, and 1:10.64 at three quarters. Jason Frakes: 502-582-4046; jfrakes@courier-journal.com; Twitter: @KentuckyDerbyCJ. 1. Essential Quality is a very good horse who is likely to show up with an honest effort, but he does not have the numbers to merit a short price compared with recent chalky winners such as American Pharoah and Justify. He posted bullet fractions on the front end of the Santa Anita Derby and still kicked towards home for a 4 1/4-length win. The three runners in the prospective field to post a Beyer higher than Essential Quality all have question marks in their own right. Showed some nice grit down the stretch in that race and should he double down with a … He has the highest Beyer and TimeformUS Figures and the co-highest Brisnet Rating. There are 10 horses within five Beyer points of the 100 Rock Your World earned in the Santa Anita Derby (G1). Bettors are also loving that he won the Louisiana Derby and with a 99 Beyer Speed figure, one of the best performances. History (1875-2020 Derby Results & Videos), (VIDEO) Three 30-1 Longshots You Can't Leave off your tickets. Rock Your World seems to be a polarizing horse with a large base of supporters who see an improving horse with more reason to further improve going longer and the lone triple digit Beyer speed figure in the field. That puts him fourth in the Kentucky Derby odds 2021 with Essential Quality (2-1), Rock Your World (5-1) and Known Agenda (6-1) all checking in ahead of the son of Oxbow by Indian Miss. 1 post hasn’t produced a Derby winner since Ferdinand in 1986, though a new starting gate that was introduced last year was designed to allow more running room for inside post positions. Tom Leach. Pletcher’s excitement was tempered a bit Tuesday when Known Agenda drew the No. “But he’s by Candy Ride, and those Candy Rides - if you get a good one - they’re really good. Rock Your World horse page with past performances, results, pedigree, photos and videos. If he’s used up front like that again, it’s reasonable to wonder if he’ll survive the extra distance in the Derby. “I love the way Known Agenda finished in the Florida Derby,” Pletcher said. 1 post position for the Derby. Benoit photo Rock Your World was given a Beyer Speed Figure of 100 for the Santa Anita Derby victory. He’s fast and has a lot of speed, a big long-jumping horse. Highly Motivated never has finished worse than third in five career races, sporting a 2-2-1 record, but Brown knows Essential Quality is the one to beat Saturday. In the 2021 Run for the Roses, Beyer Speed Figures, Brisnet Speed Ratings and TimeformUS Speed Figures show just how competitive and evenly matched this year's field is. Need to know: A much-talked-about Derby contender even prior to his first start on dirt, Rock Your World won two races on turf before trainer John Sadler finally decided to roll the … Key-entry bets. Expiring contract will ground Tex Sutton racehorse flights, Medina Spirit earns Baffert record 7th Kentucky Derby, Soup and Sandwich 'fine' after Kentucky Derby mishap. In the past 30 years, only once was the highest Beyer in the field as low as 100 and that was in 2010 when Super Saver beat a mediocre field at best. “Obviously being undefeated, he’s done nothing wrong. There is no sense even looking at Beyer figures. Rock Your World is heading to the Kentucky Derby with a perfect 3-0 record after pulling off a massive upset at the Runhappy Santa Anita Derby on Saturday. ROCK YOUR WORLD (5-1) Need to know: A much-talked-about Derby contender even prior to his first start on dirt, Rock Your World won two races on turf before trainer John Sadler finally decided to roll the dice and enter him in the Santa Anita Derby, which he took by 4 ¼ lengths as the pacesetter, earning a 100 Beyer, best in the Derby field. A Triple Crown winner might not come from this group, but if the numbers are telling the truth, this year's Derby has a strong chance to produce large payoffs. This was an easy call for the top spot: he was on the outside looking in for the Kentucky Derby picture entering the April 3 Runhappy Santa Anita Derby and exited the race as probably a top-five or -six contender. Although there is still one 100-point Derby prep to be run this coming weekend, it seems unlikely there will be more than one horse capable of … 2 choice at 5-1 odds, followed by Florida Derby winner Known Agenda (6-1), Louisiana Derby winner Hot Rod Charlie (8-1) and Blue Grass runner-up Highly Motivated (10-1). Of the four, Rock Your World is the only one that did not meet the final three furlong criteria. His stablemate, Rock Your World (Candy Ride {Arg}), earned a 100 Beyer when winning the GI Runhappy Santa Anita Derby, which gives him the only … Below is a closer look at the career best Beyer Speed Figures, Brisnet Speed Ratings and TimeformUS Figures for the prospective 2021 Kentucky Derby field. Home page of Beyer & Rock Investments, Davenport, IA website. One of two trained by Brad Cox, Essential Quality has demonstrated an ability to adapt to any situations thrown his way. Rock Your World’s Santa Anita Derby was the best of any prep race, and not just because it produced the only triple-digit Beyer. He’s a super-talented horse and a deserving favorite in the race.”. Essential Quality, trained by Louisville native Brad Cox, was established Tuesday as the 2-1 favorite in the morning line for Saturday’s Run for the Roses and clearly is the horse to beat with his 5-for-5 record that includes a victory last September at Churchill Downs. In 2013, Orb began a run of six straight post-time favorites to win the Derby, ending with Justify’s victory in 2018. “He surprised us because he’s a big long, lanky horse and bred for the turf,” Baffert said. “He had an inside trip in the Florida Derby, and he handled it very professionally.”. He has the highest Beyer and TimeformUS Figures and the co-highest Brisnet Rating. Print; Tweet Email. Sadler is hopeful Rock Your World can follow a similar path as Animal Kingdom and Barbaro, horses who began their careers on the turf before winning the Kentucky Derby. (Video) Three 30-1 Longshots you can't leave off your tickets, Medina Spirit could face big field in Preakness Stakes. All you need to know about this year’s field is that Rock Your World has the highest Beyer at 100. Essential Quality, the likely favorite in the race, stands high above the rest of the field in terms of accomplishments, but his modest career high Beyer Speed Figure of 97 gives hope to those looking to beat the chalk. Rock Your World enters the Derby 3-for-3 with earnings of $546,600 for owners Hronis Racing and Talla Racing, which acquired the bay colt as a … Way Known Agenda finished in the Florida Derby, ” Brown said contenders beyond Blue before. ” O ’ Neill said home for a little more professional with each start..... Tiz the Law came in second an ability to adapt to any thrown. 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