Projections of more than 1,500 all-purpose yards for the second straight season slots Cook with an ADP of 1.05 in drafts this summer. Manchester United fans breached the stadium prior to the club's home match against Liverpool on Sunday in a protest against the club's owners. Dalvin Cook had himself a huge day that culminated in 181 yards and a TD. However, at around 4.5 yards per carry, it is not as though he is enough of a difference-maker that Minnesota will be desperate to avoid bringing him off the field. With Carson Wentz gone, it's a big draft for the Philadelphia Eagles. Realistically, matching those 250 carries from last season seems like the ceiling for Cook’s expectations in 2020. Cook is in camp with the team, but the Vikings had been keeping him off the field while negotiating on a new deal. We can all see that Cook is a talented running back, but he is in a situation where the Vikings have options. "We could go like a 1,500 [rushing] and a 500 [receiving]. He had 15 total touchdowns (13 Rush; 2 Rec) as well, as his usage around the goal line was everything fantasy owners desired from a first-round draft pick. 38 of those (45%) have gone over 1050 rushing yards, with 25 over 1100. This correlation allows us to somewhat cut through the noise and move away from discussing the strength of schedule and offensive line rankings. If your sportsbook has Cook projected at 1100 yards rushing yards, then this is a two-unit play. With that, here are my proposed over/under totals for Cook for the 2020 NFL season: Rushing yards: Over/under 1,200; Receiving yards: … Below 1050, this is still likely a one-unit play, but as we near the 1000-yard mark, it becomes a play I feel much less confident about. Can you name every player who rushed for over 800 yards in 2020? ... Wilson has 26 passing touchdowns in 2020, ... Dalvin Cook… With the projected volume he’ll receive, I am willing to gamble that the talented back lives up to expectations in his fourth-year in the league and surpasses this number. I am placing the wager at DraftKings, where the line is 1050.5, and therefore, I will be taking the under at -110 for one unit. If we look back over the past decade at backs who had between 216 and 264 carries (10% either side of a projected 240 carries in order to split the difference in projection systems), then we get an interesting range of results. Bears. Minnesota running back Dalvin Cook became a star in fantasy football in 2019. Latest on Minnesota Vikings running back Dalvin Cook including news, stats, videos, highlights and more on ESPN ... 2020 Rushing. While the Vikings spent a first-round draft pick on LSU star wide receiver Justin Jefferson, it won’t be shocking to see Thielen and Cook see the majority of targets from Kirk Cousins in 2020. Shortly after recording the final out, Scherzer left Nationals Park to be with his wife, Erica, who's in labor with their third child. 1104. Quiz by Shade9099. © 2021 ABG-SI LLC. While we are still waiting for the first full 16-game season from Cook, owners should not shy away from drafting him with confidence. Therefore, unless we suddenly see Cook jump back up to the 4.8 yards per carry he averaged as a rookie, it is tough to see how Cook can be a sure bet to break through that 1050 range. DraftKings Sportsbook recently released Cook’s total rushing yards prop at 1,160.5 yards. 2020 over/under yardage total: 5 (both -120) Cook was the No. Current projection systems have Cook at over that 250 carry mark. Cook also added 53 catches for 519 yards. Cook has yet to rush for more than 91.5 yards in a game through seven outings this season. NFL Betting: Todd Gurley 2020 season-long rushing yards prop bet, NFL Betting: Nick Chubb 2020 season-long rushing yards prop bet, 2020 NFL Season-long Win Totals: Analysis by team. Last season, Mattison was the sixth-highest rated running backs according to Pro Football Network’s Offensive Share Metric. All of these permutations are further complicated by the ups and downs of Cook’s contract dispute. Cook was limited to just four games as a rookie due to injury. The Play: OVER 1,160.5 rushing yards (-110). The Lions give up 130.0 yards per game on the ground, good for the NFL’s 22nd-ranked rush defense. Immediately after that, 2020 Dalvin Cook lurks. Alvin Kamara Touchdown Total Prop Bet - Obvious Bounce-Back Candidate. Can you name every player who rushed for over 800 yards in 2020? Now while it will be no shock that there is a correlation between carries and yards, what is important is the significance of the trend, and this one has some impressive numbers. The former Florida State standout put together his best season in the NFL, averaging over 20 PPR points per game in a run-heavy Vikings offense. Vikings running back Dalvin Cook posted career highs in rushing and receiving yards during the 2019 season and finished the year with 1,654 yards … While his 5.66 yards per carry is fueled by small sample size, with an impact like that to end the season, it is possible we also see Boone on the field more in 2020, even when Cook and Mattison are healthy. How Many Yards Will Derrick Henry Total in 2020? However, entering 2019, Cook was the only known quantity in Minnesota. "[I] seen I had Kyle Anderson on me and [I] was like 'yeah it's game time,'" Anthony said. David Montgomery. While those numbers are not spectacular, Mattison’s metrics suggest he can provide heavily for the Vikings if given the chance. SPORTS ILLUSTRATED is a registered trademark of ABG-SI LLC. Stats; Regular Season: Career: … Betting Advice: In 2019, we saw the Vikings pound the ball on the ground with the sixth-most rushing yards (2,133) in the league. Now, if we go back to our projection numbers at Cook’s career average of 4.6 yards per carry, 225 carries would equal 1035 yards. Of those 38 to go over 1050, 13 were backs who registered more than 250 carries. Another element to consider is the uncertainty of the 2020 season. Let’s break down how the numbers might look for Cook in 2020 and what that could mean when looking for value. If we then combine that with a view of the player’s history in the NFL, we can cut through the noise of strength of schedules and offensive line rankings in order to determine the likelihood that a given player will go over or under their projected rushing yards for any given season. Using a plot of carries against rushing yards, we can project the rushing yards that an average running back would have on a given number of carries utilizing the line of best fit. He also threw in 53 receptions for 519 yards. There are only a few backs who project for double-digit touchdowns, and the amount of touches once again for Cook in new offensive coordinator Gary Kubiak’s offense helps my model project him for a solid floor. How Many Receiving Yards Will Davante Adams Have in 2020? Related | NFL Betting: Nick Chubb 2020 season-long rushing yards prop bet. Grading immediately following the draft always feels dicey, so we try to do so on a curve. Those elements can be useful when the numbers are close to a particular threshold for determining whether a wager is worth placing or not. Cook at the 2020 Pro Bowl In the season-opener against the Atlanta Falcons, Cook rushed 21 times for 111 yards and two touchdowns as the Vikings won 28–12. How Many Rushing Yards Will Ezekiel Elliott Have in 2020? Or, 1,400, 600!" However, only ten of those 38 backs managed to go over that 1050 mark while averaging less than 4.6 yards per carry, which is where Cook has sat the past two seasons. While observing the last ten years of rushing data from the NFL for Pro Football Network’s Expected Fantasy Points (xFP) metric, it became clear that the trend between carries and rushing yards could have further utility than just for fantasy. A correlation over 0.95 is considered to be one that is exceptionally significant, and both the correlation (0.986) and line of best fit on the graph (0.965) are above that magic number. Our rushing yard model tells us that for Cook to meet the middle of that range of outcomes (1050.5), he would need to log at least 245 carries while performing like an average running back. However, if the line they are offering is set in the 1050-1100 region, then I will look to play safer with a one-unit play. Related | What does a Dalvin Cook holdout mean for Alexander Mattison? With Cook having been out of practice, Mattison and Boone have had plenty of opportunities to stake a claim for more carries. Cook's 122.6 rushing yards per game average is 32.1 higher than Monday's over/under. That success has led to an offseason of discussion around Cook’s contract, which has spilled into training camp. What will he do for an encore? Therefore, even with less than 250 carries, it is possible for Cook to break through that 1050 yardage marker, which is the most common prop bet available for his rushing yards. In 14 games this season, Cook has rushed for 1,557 yards … In a similar vein to xFP, we can use the historical data to project a players rushing yards and, therefore, utilize it to examine season-long prop bets. Copyright © 2019-2021. Four times this season (out of seven total games -- 57.1%), Cook has had more than 90.5 rushing yards. Can we accurately project a player’s rushing output? Related | 2020 NFL Season-long Win Totals: Analysis by team. Cook was the fifth-highest paid running back in 2020 and makes an average of $12.6 … Aaron Jones. In 2019, the wide receivers and fullback accounted for another 17 carries, which seems a reasonable number again, that leaves us in that 225 region for Cook. 2019 stats: 464 yards rushing, 4 yards per attempt, 251 yards receiving, 7 total TDs Read more Microsoft and partners may be compensated if you purchase something through recommended links … Using information from around the league, PFN Chief Draft Analyst and NFL Insider Tony Pauline shares his final 3-Round 2021 NFL Mock Draft. However, I am less bullish, projecting Cook for around 225 carries. 2 after Sunday. While … Defensive Points Allowed Consistency Score, Expected Fantasy Points and Fantasy Points Differential, NFL Betting 101: An introductory guide to prop bets, https://www.profootballnetwork.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/08/ATS-Cut-Up_mixdown.mp3. 2019 saw two backs emerge as potentially useful options for the Vikings. Cook did miss two games, however. — Minnesota Vikings (@Vikings) December 25, 2020 3. Just how the Eagles 2021 NFL Draft picks grade out? Cook went on to finish with 1,918 total yards and 17 touchdowns on 356 touches. How Many Yards Will Baker Mayfield Throw For in 2020? Dalvin Cook had a career year for the Minnesota Vikings last season. Rushing Yards Betting Insights Cook’s 108.7 rushing yards per game average is 17.2 higher than Sunday’s over/under. Top-five pick in fantasy football in 2020? Related | NFL Betting 101: An introductory guide to prop bets. Cook led the NFL with 21 carries from within the five-yard line and it's important to note that with Diggs now in Buffalo Minnesota should lead the NFL in run rate (60%) inside the red zone for the second straight season. 1u – Dalvin Cook under 1050.5 rushing yards | -110. Athletics pitcher Jesús Luzardo allowed three earned runs on five hits in three innings against Baltimore on Saturday after breaking his finger while playing video games. What does a Dalvin Cook holdout mean for Alexander Mattison? As long as Cook is healthy, he is in an excellent spot once again in 2020. Connor Buckley, also known on Twitch as BuckArmy, worked with the D-backs social media team to track his roommate's date during Saturday's game. In 13 games as a rookie, Mattison carried the ball 100 times, logging 462 rushing yards. See All. How Many Receiving Yards Will DeAndre Hopkins Have in 2020? ... Dalvin Cook. 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